Published: Wed, August 08, 2018
World News | By Laverne Osborne

Tight Ohio Vote Could Spell Trouble for GOP This Fall

Tight Ohio Vote Could Spell Trouble for GOP This Fall

Troy Balderson was 1,754 votes ahead of Danny O'Connor, a Democratic county recorder, late Tuesday with thousands of provisional votes still uncounted. They are facing off to fill the remaining months of former U.S. Rep.

Republicans focussed on mobilising their voters through negative advertisements portraying the Democratic candidate as a puppet of coastal elites while the Democrats' messaging centred on protecting access to healthcare and social security. Before Tiberi, Gov. John Kasich held the seat, which has been redrawn to assure GOP dominance.

On this OH district: It's been Republican really since the Great Depression.

The special election in OH coincided with with a series of primaries for Senate, House and gubernatorial nominations in Kansas, Missouri, Michigan and Washington.

The Ohio district includes numerous suburban women and college-educated, affluent residents that polls show have been the sort of voters turned off by Trump's chaotic first 19 months in office. He suggested the race may foretell a Republican "red wave" in November.

Thank you for signing up for the Top 3 Newsletter. In fact, there are 69 Republican-held districts that Trump carried in 2016 by less than the margin in this area, or that Hillary Clinton carried outright.

"(Balderson)'s really tough. He's really smart. He said: "We're not stopping now". In the two and a half weeks since Trump endorsed Balderson, America First Action, a Super PAC that advocates for his legislative agenda, spent $200,000 investing in voter turnout.

"When I made a decision to go to OH for Troy Balderson, he was down in early voting 64 to 36".

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The Center for American Women and Politics (CAWP) said a record had been set for women major party nominees for US House elections in any one year.

"Absolutely", she said. "I wouldn't invite him (Trump) to my home for dinner".

Midterm elections will have higher turnout and could have slightly different electorates than these special election contests, and Democrats will need to win at least a few seats like this one if they're going to get to a House majority in November.

Balderson, for his part, was hardly a top-notch campaigner.

Ohio Govenor John Kasich, a leading voice in the GOP's shrinking anti-Trump wing, once represented the district in Congress.

In Missouri, voters selected the GOP establishment's preference, Attorney General Josh Hawley, as their candidate to challenge Democratic Sen.

To win, Balderson will need to unite Republicans who love the president and those who prefer the governor. Votes in these surrounding counties could easily offset O'Connor's in Columbus' Franklin County. Republicans now hold a two-seat majority in the Senate, while Democrats need to net 23 seats to take control of the House. All 435 House seats, 35 of 100 Senate seats and 36 of 50 governors' offices are up for grabs in November.

Tuesday's elections could provide a window into the direction of the Democratic Party as the 2020 presidential nominating contest gets underway and party leaders debate whether to embrace a more liberal platform in hopes of turning out voters who sat out the 2016 election or make a centrist turn to court moderates and Republicans who are alienated by Trump.

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